AMD is betting its future on Moore’s Law, and says it still has a 6-8 year lifespan thanks to next-generation transistor technologies

NVIDIA President and CEO Jensen Huang was quoted a few months ago as saying that Moore’s Law is officially dead, but rival company AMD disagrees with the statement. AMD feels that Moore’s Law still has several years of life, stating that another six to eight years Moore’s Law will not be more than that.

AMD disagrees with NVIDIA on the death of Moore’s Law, which stipulates several more years of life

Mark Papermaster, AMD’s chief technical officer, disagreed with Huang’s September statement, but added that transistor density can’t keep increasing every 1.5 to 2 years—especially to keep accurate cost.

I can see exciting new transistor technology in the next — as far as you can really map these things out — about six to eight years, and it’s very clear to me the progress we’re going to make to continue to improve transistor technology, but it’s much more expensive.

AMD CTO Mark Papermaster via The Register

However, AMD’s Moore’s Law lifetime ideas do have some caveats. While the company sees chipboards as playing an important role in the future of semiconductor technology, it doesn’t strictly follow Moore’s Law.

Moore’s Law is “the observation that the number of transistors in a dense integrated circuit (IC) doubles approximately every two years”. This was created by Gordon Moore, co-founder of Fairchild Semiconductor and Intel. His estimated predictions have been in use since 1975. However, in the manufacturing rate, the industry is slowly beginning to see a shift, slowing over time (since 2010), which explains Papermaster’s ideas.

“Chiplets are really a way of just rethinking how the semiconductor industry is moving forward,” he said.

This “will continue to innovate and we’ll maintain, I will say, the equivalent of Moore’s Law, which means you’ll continue to double that capacity every 18 to 24 months, [this] It is an innovation about how to put a solution together.”

AMD CTO Mark Papermaster via The Register

AMD also bases many of its newer designs on field-programmable gate array, or FPGA, technology, with integration emerging in some markets. The company believes in great versatility in personalization, and calls it adaptive computing. FPGAs are used in many markets, such as aerospace, consumer electronics, medical, wired and wireless communications, high-performance computing and data warehousing.

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Intel also believes in chiplet semiconductor equipment, using the concept in its designs. However, Intel’s path is a little different, using small silicon interferors with high-density junctions called Embedded Multi-Die Connection Bridges, or EMIBs. It is shown to use the highest density for interconnection when needed. Intel also recently highlighted how advanced technology in transistors will help keep Moore’s Law alive for the next several years.

News Sources: TechPowerUP, Wikipedia, IEEE Spectrum

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